Bradul Putna vs Paşcani Statistics & Analysis

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Bradul Putna

Sep 23, 2026 - 14:00

7 1.32

2 1.28

xG Accuracy: 17%

Paşcani

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Bradul Putna Bradul Putna ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 7-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 16, 2026 · 02:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8987201

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Bradul Putna win · Bradul Putna 7–2 Paşcani

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga III - Serie 1
Fixture: Bradul Putna vs Paşcani
Kickoff: 2026-09-22 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Bradul Putna 1.32 — Paşcani 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Liga III - Serie 1 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	CSM FC Vaslui	5	4	1	0	13
2	USV Iaşi	5	4	1	0	13
3	CSM Adjud	5	3	1	1	10
4	FC Bacău II	5	3	1	1	10
5	Odorheiu Secuiesc	5	2	3	0	9
6	Bradul Putna	5	2	1	2	7
7	Gheorgheni	5	2	0	3	6
8	Aerostar Bacau	5	2	0	3	6
9	Târgu Secuiesc	5	1	2	2	5
10	Viitorul Curiţa	5	1	1	3	4
11	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	5	0	1	4	1
12	Paşcani	5	0	0	5	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Bradul Putna	5	15	9	+6	7
2	CSM FC Vaslui	5	12	5	+7	13
3	Târgu Secuiesc	5	10	11	-1	5
4	Gheorgheni	5	9	9	0	6
5	CSM Adjud	5	8	6	+2	10
6	FC Bacău II	5	8	6	+2	10
7	Viitorul Curiţa	5	8	7	+1	4
8	USV Iaşi	5	7	3	+4	13
9	Odorheiu Secuiesc	5	6	3	+3	9
10	Paşcani	5	6	16	-10	0
11	Aerostar Bacau	5	5	8	-3	6
12	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	5	1	12	-11	1