Statistics / Football / Iran. Azadegan League / Be'sat Kermanshah vs Naft Bandar Abbas

Be'sat Kermanshah vs Naft Bandar Abbas Statistics & Analysis

Be'sat Kermanshah Be'sat Kermanshah
Oct 05, 2026 - 12:30
2 1.21
1 1.39
xG Accuracy: 72%
Naft Bandar Abbas Naft Bandar Abbas
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Naft Bandar Abbas Be'sat Kermanshah ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11670320

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Be'sat Kermanshah win · Be'sat Kermanshah 2–1 Naft Bandar Abbas
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Azadegan League
  • Fixture: Be'sat Kermanshah vs Naft Bandar Abbas
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-05 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Be'sat Kermanshah 1.21 — Naft Bandar Abbas 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 32.5% · Probability edge: +15.7 pts · Est. EV: +34.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Azadegan League Azadegan League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 9
2 Pars Jonoubi JAM 4 2 2 0 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 8
4 Be'sat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 7
5 Naft Masjed Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 5
10 Fard Alborz 4 1 2 1 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 4
12 Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 3
13 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 3
14 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 3
15 Mes Soongoun 4 0 2 2 2
16 Havadar 4 0 1 3 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Naft Masjed Soleyman 4 6 4 +2 6
2 Be'sat Kermanshah 4 5 2 +3 7
3 Saipa 4 5 3 +2 9
4 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 5 3 +2 6
5 Novin Ahvaz 4 5 6 -1 3
6 Pars Jonoubi JAM 4 4 2 +2 8
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 3 2 +1 6
8 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 3 3 0 5
9 Ario Eslamshahr 4 3 4 -1 6
10 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 0 +2 8
11 Fard Alborz 4 2 2 0 5
12 Niroye Zamini 4 2 3 -1 4
13 Mes Kerman 4 2 3 -1 3
14 Naft Gachsaran 4 1 2 -1 3
15 Mes Soongoun 4 1 4 -3 2
16 Havadar 4 0 6 -6 1
Azadegan League Iran. Azadegan League Predictions