Statistics / Football / Rwanda. National Soccer League / APR vs Marines

APR vs Marines Statistics & Analysis

APR APR
Sep 16, 2026 - 16:30
4 1.45
2 1.15
xG Accuracy: 39%
Marines Marines
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 APR APR ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 4-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 10, 2026 · 15:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7924423

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result APR win · APR 4–2 Marines
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: National Soccer League
  • Fixture: APR vs Marines
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-16 16:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 42.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 28.4%
  • xG (showing): APR 1.45 — Marines 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for APR & Marines!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
National Soccer League National Soccer League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Gicumbi 3 3 0 0 9
2 Etincelles 3 2 1 0 7
3 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 4
4 APR 1 1 0 0 3
5 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 3
6 Mukura 2 1 0 1 3
7 Marines 2 1 0 1 3
8 Police 2 1 0 1 3
9 Gorilla 2 1 0 1 3
10 Musanze 2 1 0 1 3
11 Kiyovu Sports 3 1 0 2 3
12 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 2
13 Rayon Sports 1 0 1 0 1
14 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 1
15 Etoile de l'Est 3 0 1 2 1
16 AS Kigali 3 0 1 2 1
17 Bugesera 1 0 0 1 0
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Gicumbi 3 5 2 +3 9
2 APR 1 4 2 +2 3
3 Marines 2 4 4 0 3
4 Etincelles 3 2 0 +2 7
5 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 2 0 +2 3
6 Amagaju 3 2 1 +1 4
7 Mukura 2 2 1 +1 3
8 Police 2 2 2 0 3
9 Gorilla 2 1 1 0 3
10 Musanze 2 1 1 0 3
11 Sunrise 2 1 1 0 2
12 Rayon Sports 1 1 1 0 1
13 Kiyovu Sports 3 1 2 -1 3
14 Etoile de l'Est 3 1 4 -3 1
15 Al Merreikh 1 0 0 0 1
16 Bugesera 1 0 1 -1 0
17 Gasogi United 1 0 2 -2 0
18 AS Kigali 3 0 4 -4 1