Statistics / Football / Mexico. Liga Premier Serie B / Internacional Laguna vs Celaya 2

Internacional Laguna vs Celaya 2 Statistics & Analysis

⚽
Internacional Laguna
Oct 03, 2026 - 22:00
2 1.32
3 1.28
xG Accuracy: 52%
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Celaya 2
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Internacional Laguna Celaya 2 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11262837

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Celaya 2 win · Internacional Laguna 2–3 Celaya 2
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga Premier Serie B
  • Fixture: Internacional Laguna vs Celaya 2
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 22:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Internacional Laguna 1.32 — Celaya 2 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga Premier Serie B Liga Premier Serie B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Irapuato II 4 3 0 1 9
2 Racing de Veracruz 2 3 3 0 0 9
3 Celaya 2 3 3 0 0 9
4 Gorilas de Juanacatlan 4 2 0 2 6
5 Huracanes Izcalli 4 2 0 2 6
6 Cruz Azul Lagunas 4 2 0 2 6
7 Internacional Laguna 3 1 0 2 3
8 Deportivo Ayense 4 1 0 3 3
9 Heroes de Zaci 2 4 1 0 3 3
10 Atletico Hidalgo 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Gorilas de Juanacatlan 4 9 6 +3 6
2 Irapuato II 4 8 4 +4 9
3 Huracanes Izcalli 4 8 5 +3 6
4 Racing de Veracruz 2 3 7 3 +4 9
5 Celaya 2 3 7 4 +3 9
6 Cruz Azul Lagunas 4 5 5 0 6
7 Internacional Laguna 3 5 6 -1 3
8 Deportivo Ayense 4 4 5 -1 3
9 Heroes de Zaci 2 4 4 11 -7 3
10 Atletico Hidalgo 3 3 11 -8 0
Liga Premier Serie B Mexico. Liga Premier Serie B Predictions