Statistics / Football / Ghana. Division One League / Dormaa vs VC Warriors

Dormaa vs VC Warriors Statistics & Analysis

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Dormaa
Oct 05, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.28
0 1.32
xG Accuracy: 49%
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VC Warriors
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 VC Warriors Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11251041

Closing Odds 1.58
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Draw · Dormaa 0–0 VC Warriors
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE20 and PRE5 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2), VC Warriors (1X2) meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on VC Warriors (1X2) by about 19.5 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Dormaa (1X2) 34.2 57.1 -22.8
Draw (1X2) 29.7 26.4 +3.3
VC Warriors (1X2) 36.1 16.6 +19.5
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 36.1% on VC Warriors (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 16.6%. The difference — about 19.5 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE20 → PRE5 · Book: 22bet

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE20) Closing (PRE5) Implied Δ (pp)
Dormaa (1X2) 1.58 1.58 0.0
Draw (1X2) 3.42 3.42 0.0
VC Warriors (1X2) 5.44 5.44 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Division One League
  • Fixture: Dormaa vs VC Warriors
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Dormaa 1.28 — VC Warriors 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): VC Warriors
  • Model: 36.1% · Implied: 16.6% · Probability edge: +19.5 pts · Est. EV: +5.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Wait - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Division One League Division One League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Pro-Sports Academy 3 2 1 0 7
1 Inter Allies 3 2 1 0 7
1 Sankara Nationals 3 2 1 0 7
1 VC Warriors 3 2 1 0 7
2 Nsuopun Fidelity 3 2 1 0 7
2 Koforidua 3 2 1 0 7
2 Real Tamale 3 1 1 1 4
2 Mighty Royals 3 2 1 0 7
3 Ebony FC 3 2 0 1 6
3 WAFA 3 2 1 0 7
3 Steadfast 3 1 1 1 4
3 Bectero Sasana 3 2 0 1 6
4 Ebusua Dwarfs 3 2 0 1 6
4 Okwawu 3 2 0 1 6
4 Berekum City 3 1 1 1 4
4 Techiman Liberty 3 1 1 1 4
5 Fettehman United 3 1 2 0 5
5 Hakla SC 3 1 2 0 5
5 Tamale City 3 1 1 1 4
5 Yapei 3 1 1 1 4
6 Elmina Sharks 3 1 2 0 5
6 True Democracy 3 1 2 0 5
6 Kalibi SC 3 1 1 1 4
6 Dormaa 3 1 1 1 4
7 Nations 3 1 2 0 5
7 Golden Kicks 3 1 1 1 4
7 Northern City 3 0 2 1 2
7 Eleven Wonders 3 0 1 2 1
8 King Faisal 3 1 1 1 4
8 Accra Lions 3 1 1 1 4
8 Wa Power 3 0 2 1 2
8 KAC Soccer 3 0 0 3 0
9 Soccer Intellectuals 3 0 3 0 3
9 Nania 3 1 1 1 4
10 Sefwi All Stars 3 0 3 0 3
10 Home Stars 3 0 3 0 3
11 Ebiemo FC 3 1 0 2 3
11 7th Wave 3 0 3 0 3
12 Skyy 3 1 0 2 3
12 Attram de Visser 3 0 2 1 2
13 Future Stars 3 1 0 2 3
13 Kotoku Royals 3 0 2 1 2
14 New Edubiase 3 0 1 2 1
14 Great Olympics 3 0 1 2 1
15 PAC Academy 3 0 1 2 1
15 Nukunu 3 0 1 2 1
16 Rospak 3 0 1 2 1
16 Golden Warriors 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Pro-Sports Academy 3 7 1 +6 7
2 Mighty Royals 3 5 1 +4 7
3 Koforidua 3 5 2 +3 7
4 Real Tamale 3 5 3 +2 4
5 Ebusua Dwarfs 3 5 4 +1 6
6 VC Warriors 3 4 0 +4 7
7 Inter Allies 3 4 1 +3 7
8 WAFA 3 4 2 +2 7
9 Bectero Sasana 3 4 3 +1 6
10 Golden Kicks 3 4 3 +1 4
11 Sankara Nationals 3 3 1 +2 7
12 Nsuopun Fidelity 3 3 1 +2 7
13 Fettehman United 3 3 1 +2 5
14 Hakla SC 3 3 1 +2 5
15 Ebony FC 3 3 2 +1 6
16 Okwawu 3 3 2 +1 6
17 True Democracy 3 3 2 +1 5
18 Techiman Liberty 3 3 2 +1 4
19 Steadfast 3 3 3 0 4
20 Tamale City 3 3 3 0 4
21 Accra Lions 3 3 3 0 4
22 Sefwi All Stars 3 3 3 0 3
23 Elmina Sharks 3 2 1 +1 5
24 Nations 3 2 1 +1 5
25 Berekum City 3 2 2 0 4
26 Yapei 3 2 2 0 4
27 Dormaa 3 2 2 0 4
28 King Faisal 3 2 2 0 4
29 Soccer Intellectuals 3 2 2 0 3
30 7th Wave 3 2 2 0 3
31 Nania 3 2 3 -1 4
32 Wa Power 3 2 3 -1 2
33 Attram de Visser 3 2 3 -1 2
34 Kalibi SC 3 2 4 -2 4
35 Skyy 3 2 4 -2 3
36 Great Olympics 3 2 4 -2 1
37 KAC Soccer 3 2 8 -6 0
38 Home Stars 3 1 1 0 3
39 Ebiemo FC 3 1 2 -1 3
40 Northern City 3 1 2 -1 2
41 Kotoku Royals 3 1 3 -2 2
42 PAC Academy 3 1 3 -2 1
43 Rospak 3 1 3 -2 1
44 Eleven Wonders 3 1 5 -4 1
45 Golden Warriors 3 1 5 -4 0
46 Future Stars 3 1 6 -5 3
47 New Edubiase 3 0 2 -2 1
48 Nukunu 3 0 3 -3 1
Division One League Ghana. Division One League Predictions