Statistics / Football / Zambia. Super League / Green Buffaloes vs Chirundu Utd

Green Buffaloes vs Chirundu Utd Statistics & Analysis

Green Buffaloes Green Buffaloes
Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.29
0 1.31
xG Accuracy: 57%
⚽
Chirundu Utd
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Chirundu Utd Green Buffaloes ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11674155

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Green Buffaloes win · Green Buffaloes 2–0 Chirundu Utd
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Super League
  • Fixture: Green Buffaloes vs Chirundu Utd
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Green Buffaloes 1.29 — Chirundu Utd 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Super League Super League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Zanaco 0 0 0 0 0
1 ZESCO United 0 0 0 0 0
2 Nchanga Rangers 0 0 0 0 0
2 Green Buffaloes 0 0 0 0 0
3 Nkana 0 0 0 0 0
3 Kabwe Warriors 0 0 0 0 0
4 Power Dynamos 0 0 0 0 0
4 Red Arrows 0 0 0 0 0
5 Konkola Blades 0 0 0 0 0
5 Roan United 0 0 0 0 0
6 NAPSA Stars 0 0 0 0 0
6 Green Eagles 0 0 0 0 0
7 Man Utd Zambia Academy 0 0 0 0 0
7 Nkwazi 0 0 0 0 0
8 Kansanshi Dynamos 0 0 0 0 0
8 Mufulira Wanderers 0 0 0 0 0
9 Trident 0 0 0 0 0
9 Mutondo Stars 0 0 0 0 0
10 Makeni All Stars 0 0 0 0 0
10 Chirundu Utd 0 0 0 0 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Zanaco 0 0 0 0 0
2 ZESCO United 0 0 0 0 0
3 Nchanga Rangers 0 0 0 0 0
4 Green Buffaloes 0 0 0 0 0
5 Nkana 0 0 0 0 0
6 Kabwe Warriors 0 0 0 0 0
7 Power Dynamos 0 0 0 0 0
8 Red Arrows 0 0 0 0 0
9 Konkola Blades 0 0 0 0 0
10 Roan United 0 0 0 0 0
11 NAPSA Stars 0 0 0 0 0
12 Green Eagles 0 0 0 0 0
13 Man Utd Zambia Academy 0 0 0 0 0
14 Nkwazi 0 0 0 0 0
15 Kansanshi Dynamos 0 0 0 0 0
16 Mufulira Wanderers 0 0 0 0 0
17 Trident 0 0 0 0 0
18 Mutondo Stars 0 0 0 0 0
19 Makeni All Stars 0 0 0 0 0
20 Chirundu Utd 0 0 0 0 0
Super League Zambia. Super League Predictions