Gol Gohar vs Al-Jazira Statistics & Analysis

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Validation Report

AI match briefing

Model Performance

AI Match Summary

Historical Recommendation

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Last Updated

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AFC Cup — Standings

Gol Gohar

Sep 15, 2026 - 13:45

0 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 49%

Al-Jazira

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Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Gol Gohar Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 09, 2026 · 02:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7701823

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Gol Gohar 0–0 Al-Jazira

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: AFC Cup
Fixture: Gol Gohar vs Al-Jazira
Kickoff: 2026-09-15 13:45:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Gol Gohar 1.32 — Al-Jazira 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.8%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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