São Paulo RS vs Futebol Com Vida Statistics & Analysis

São Paulo RS

Oct 13, 2026 - 22:30

0 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 64%

Futebol Com Vida

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 São Paulo RS Futebol Com Vida ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13234592

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Futebol Com Vida win · São Paulo RS 0–1 Futebol Com Vida

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Gaúcho - 3
Fixture: São Paulo RS vs Futebol Com Vida
Kickoff: 2026-10-11 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): São Paulo RS 1.32 — Futebol Com Vida 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Gaúcho - 3 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Panambi	7	5	2	0	17
2	Real	6	4	2	0	14
3	Cruz A.	7	4	1	2	13
4	São Paulo RS	6	4	0	2	12
5	Futebol Com Vida	6	2	4	0	10
6	Farroupilha	6	3	0	3	9
7	FBC Riograndense RS	7	2	1	4	7
8	Clube 1992	7	2	0	5	6
9	EC Novo Horizonte	6	1	0	5	3
10	SC Rio Grande	6	0	0	6	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Real	6	23	4	+19	14
2	Panambi	7	15	6	+9	17
3	Cruz A.	7	12	7	+5	13
4	São Paulo RS	6	11	6	+5	12
5	Clube 1992	7	9	11	-2	6
6	Farroupilha	6	7	11	-4	9
7	Futebol Com Vida	6	6	3	+3	10
8	FBC Riograndense RS	7	6	10	-4	7
9	SC Rio Grande	6	3	16	-13	0
10	EC Novo Horizonte	6	3	21	-18	3