Statistics / Football / Brazil. Gaúcho - 3 / Real vs Panambi

Real vs Panambi Statistics & Analysis

Real Real
Oct 10, 2026 - 18:00
3 1.29
3 1.31
xG Accuracy: 39%
⚽
Panambi
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Panambi Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 04:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13249216

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Real 3–3 Panambi
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Gaúcho - 3
  • Fixture: Real vs Panambi
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Real 1.29 — Panambi 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Gaúcho - 3 Gaúcho - 3 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Panambi 7 5 2 0 17
2 Real 6 4 2 0 14
3 Cruz A. 7 4 1 2 13
4 São Paulo RS 6 4 0 2 12
5 Futebol Com Vida 6 2 4 0 10
6 Farroupilha 6 3 0 3 9
7 FBC Riograndense RS 7 2 1 4 7
8 Clube 1992 7 2 0 5 6
9 EC Novo Horizonte 6 1 0 5 3
10 SC Rio Grande 6 0 0 6 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Real 6 23 4 +19 14
2 Panambi 7 15 6 +9 17
3 Cruz A. 7 12 7 +5 13
4 São Paulo RS 6 11 6 +5 12
5 Clube 1992 7 9 11 -2 6
6 Farroupilha 6 7 11 -4 9
7 Futebol Com Vida 6 6 3 +3 10
8 FBC Riograndense RS 7 6 10 -4 7
9 SC Rio Grande 6 3 16 -13 0
10 EC Novo Horizonte 6 3 21 -18 3
Gaúcho - 3 Brazil. Gaúcho - 3 Predictions