SC Rio Grande vs São Paulo RS Statistics & Analysis

SC Rio Grande

Sep 13, 2026 - 18:00

0 1.24

2 1.36

xG Accuracy: 60%

São Paulo RS

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 São Paulo RS São Paulo RS ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7457380

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result São Paulo RS win · SC Rio Grande 0–2 São Paulo RS

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Gaúcho - 3
Fixture: SC Rio Grande vs São Paulo RS
Kickoff: 2026-09-13 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
xG (showing): SC Rio Grande 1.24 — São Paulo RS 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for SC Rio Grande & São Paulo RS!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

Gaúcho - 3 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Panambi	3	3	0	0	9
2	Futebol Com Vida	4	2	2	0	8
3	Real	3	2	1	0	7
4	FBC Riograndense RS	4	2	1	1	7
5	São Paulo RS	3	2	0	1	6
6	Farroupilha	4	2	0	2	6
7	Cruz A.	4	2	0	2	6
8	EC Novo Horizonte	3	1	0	2	3
9	Clube 1992	4	0	0	4	0
10	SC Rio Grande	4	0	0	4	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Panambi	3	9	2	+7	9
2	Real	3	7	1	+6	7
3	Futebol Com Vida	4	5	2	+3	8
4	São Paulo RS	3	5	3	+2	6
5	FBC Riograndense RS	4	5	4	+1	7
6	Farroupilha	4	5	6	-1	6
7	Cruz A.	4	5	7	-2	6
8	Clube 1992	4	4	8	-4	0
9	EC Novo Horizonte	3	3	7	-4	3
10	SC Rio Grande	4	2	10	-8	0