Cruz A. vs Clube 1992 Statistics & Analysis

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Cruz A.

Sep 13, 2026 - 18:00

2 1.38

1 1.22

xG Accuracy: 79%

Clube 1992

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Cruz A. Cruz A. ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7457275

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Cruz A. win · Cruz A. 2–1 Clube 1992

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Gaúcho - 3
Fixture: Cruz A. vs Clube 1992
Kickoff: 2026-09-13 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
xG (showing): Cruz A. 1.38 — Clube 1992 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Gaúcho - 3 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Real	2	1	1	0	4
2	Panambi	1	1	0	0	3
3	Cruz A.	1	1	0	0	3
4	Farroupilha	1	1	0	0	3
5	FBC Riograndense RS	2	1	0	1	3
6	Futebol Com Vida	1	0	1	0	1
7	Clube 1992	1	0	0	1	0
8	São Paulo RS	1	0	0	1	0
9	EC Novo Horizonte	1	0	0	1	0
10	SC Rio Grande	1	0	0	1	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Panambi	1	4	0	+4	3
2	Real	2	4	1	+3	4
3	FBC Riograndense RS	2	3	3	0	3
4	Cruz A.	1	2	1	+1	3
5	Farroupilha	1	2	1	+1	3
6	Futebol Com Vida	1	1	1	0	1
7	Clube 1992	1	1	2	-1	0
8	São Paulo RS	1	1	2	-1	0
9	EC Novo Horizonte	1	0	3	-3	0
10	SC Rio Grande	1	0	4	-4	0