Dacia-Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol Statistics & Analysis

Dacia-Buiucani

Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00

2 1.10

5 1.50

xG Accuracy: 30%

Sheriff Tiraspol

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Sheriff Tiraspol Sheriff Tiraspol ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 2-5 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:16 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13233215

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Sheriff Tiraspol win · Dacia-Buiucani 2–5 Sheriff Tiraspol

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Super Liga
Fixture: Dacia-Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 26.2% · Draw 29.0% · Away 44.8%
xG (showing): Dacia-Buiucani 1.1 — Sheriff Tiraspol 1.5 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.4% · No 46.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.4% · No 46.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Super Liga — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	13	8	4	1	28
2	Zimbru	13	8	2	3	26
3	Petrocub	13	7	3	3	24
4	Dacia-Buiucani	13	6	2	5	20
5	Milsami Orhei	13	4	5	4	17
6	Politehnica UTM	13	4	3	6	15
7	Sireți	13	0	7	6	7
8	CSF Bălți	13	1	2	10	5

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Sheriff Tiraspol	13	32	10	+22	28
2	Zimbru	13	27	12	+15	26
3	Petrocub	13	24	13	+11	24
4	Politehnica UTM	13	18	19	-1	15
5	Dacia-Buiucani	13	17	16	+1	20
6	Milsami Orhei	13	13	17	-4	17
7	CSF Bălți	13	9	42	-33	5
8	Sireți	13	8	19	-11	7