Statistics / Football / Serbia. U19 league / Mladost Lucani U19 vs Sp. Subotica U19

Mladost Lucani U19 vs Sp. Subotica U19 Statistics & Analysis

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Mladost Lucani U19
Oct 04, 2026 - 16:30
3 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 52%
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Sp. Subotica U19
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Mladost Lucani U19 Mladost Lucani U19 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11254934

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Mladost Lucani U19 win · Mladost Lucani U19 3–2 Sp. Subotica U19
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: U19 league
  • Fixture: Mladost Lucani U19 vs Sp. Subotica U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Mladost Lucani U19 1.32 — Sp. Subotica U19 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
U19 league U19 league — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 IMT Novi Beograd U19 8 7 0 1 21
2 Vojvodina U19 8 6 0 2 18
3 TSC U19 8 6 0 2 18
4 Novi Pazar U19 8 5 1 2 16
5 Crvena Zvezda U18 8 4 2 2 14
6 Vozdovac U19 8 4 1 3 13
7 Usce U19 8 4 0 4 12
8 Mladost Lucani U19 8 3 1 4 10
9 Partizan U19 8 3 1 4 10
10 Jedinstvo U. U19 8 2 1 5 7
11 Brodarac U19 8 2 1 5 7
12 OFK Beograd U19 8 2 0 6 6
13 Sp. Subotica U19 8 2 0 6 6
14 Cukaricki U19 8 1 2 5 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 IMT Novi Beograd U19 8 26 11 +15 21
2 Crvena Zvezda U18 8 21 10 +11 14
3 Vojvodina U19 8 20 11 +9 18
4 TSC U19 8 20 15 +5 18
5 Usce U19 8 19 22 -3 12
6 Mladost Lucani U19 8 17 17 0 10
7 Novi Pazar U19 8 16 15 +1 16
8 Jedinstvo U. U19 8 15 24 -9 7
9 Vozdovac U19 8 14 10 +4 13
10 Partizan U19 8 14 16 -2 10
11 Cukaricki U19 8 14 19 -5 5
12 OFK Beograd U19 8 13 17 -4 6
13 Sp. Subotica U19 8 12 22 -10 6
14 Brodarac U19 8 10 22 -12 7
U19 league Serbia. U19 league Predictions