Statistics / Football / World. AFC Champions League / SHANGHAI SIPG vs Daejeon Citizen

SHANGHAI SIPG vs Daejeon Citizen Statistics & Analysis

SHANGHAI SIPG SHANGHAI SIPG
Oct 13, 2026 - 10:00
1 1.21
1 1.41
xG Accuracy: 84%
Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Daejeon Citizen Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 07, 2026 · 01:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13654803

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · SHANGHAI SIPG 1–1 Daejeon Citizen
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: AFC Champions League
  • Fixture: SHANGHAI SIPG vs Daejeon Citizen
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-13 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.9% · Draw 27.7% · Away 36.4%
  • xG (showing): SHANGHAI SIPG 1.21 — Daejeon Citizen 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.62)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.3% · Implied: 39.7% · Probability edge: +11.6 pts · Est. EV: +25.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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AFC Champions League AFC Champions League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Al Ain 1 1 0 0 3
2 Esteghlal FC 1 1 0 0 3
3 Al-Qadisiyah FC 1 1 0 0 3
4 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1 1 0 0 3
5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 1 0 0 3
6 Neftchi 1 1 0 0 3
7 Al-Ittihad FC 1 0 1 0 1
8 Al Shamal 1 0 1 0 1
9 Pakhtakor 1 0 1 0 1
10 Al-Ahli Jeddah 1 0 1 0 1
11 Al-Wasl FC 1 0 0 1 0
12 Al-Gharafa 1 0 0 1 0
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 0 0 1 0
14 Tractor Sazi 1 0 0 1 0
15 Al Sadd 1 0 0 1 0
16 Al-Nassr 1 0 0 1 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Al Ain 1 4 0 +4 3
2 Esteghlal FC 1 3 0 +3 3
3 Al-Qadisiyah FC 1 2 1 +1 3
4 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1 2 1 +1 3
5 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 1 0 +1 3
6 Neftchi 1 1 0 +1 3
7 Al-Ittihad FC 1 1 1 0 1
8 Al Shamal 1 1 1 0 1
9 Pakhtakor 1 1 1 0 1
10 Al-Ahli Jeddah 1 1 1 0 1
11 Al-Wasl FC 1 1 2 -1 0
12 Al-Gharafa 1 1 2 -1 0
13 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 0 1 -1 0
14 Tractor Sazi 1 0 1 -1 0
15 Al Sadd 1 0 3 -3 0
16 Al-Nassr 1 0 4 -4 0
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1 2.6 0.8 +1.8 3
2 Al-Nassr 1 2.2 0.6 +1.6 0
3 Al-Gharafa 1 1.9 0.7 +1.2 0
4 Tractor Sazi 1 1.4 0.6 +0.8 0
5 Al Ain 1 2.4 1.7 +0.7 3
6 Al-Ahli Jeddah 1 1.4 1.0 +0.4 1
7 Pakhtakor 1 1.8 1.5 +0.3 1
8 Al-Ittihad FC 1 1.5 1.3 +0.2 1
9 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1 1.3 1.5 -0.2 3
10 Al-Qadisiyah FC 1 1.5 1.8 -0.3 3
11 Al-Wasl FC 1 1.0 1.4 -0.4 0
12 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 1.7 2.4 -0.7 0
13 Al Shamal 1 0.6 1.4 -0.8 1
14 Esteghlal FC 1 0.7 1.9 -1.2 3
15 Neftchi 1 0.6 2.2 -1.6 3
16 Al Sadd 1 0.8 2.6 -1.8 0