Statistics / Football / Turkey. U19 league / Fenerbahce U19 vs Eyupspor U19

Fenerbahce U19 vs Eyupspor U19 Statistics & Analysis

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Fenerbahce U19
Sep 20, 2026 - 11:00
5 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 34%
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Eyupspor U19
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Fenerbahce U19 Fenerbahce U19 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 5-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8663814

Closing Odds 2.12
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Fenerbahce U19 win · Fenerbahce U19 5–1 Eyupspor U19
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2), Eyupspor U19 (1X2), Under 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Under 2.5 goals by about 10.2 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Fenerbahce U19 (1X2) 36.1 42.6 -6.5
Draw (1X2) 29.7 26.8 +2.8
Eyupspor U19 (1X2) 34.2 30.5 +3.7
Over 2.5 goals 48.2 58.4 -10.2
Under 2.5 goals 51.8 41.6 +10.2
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 51.8% on Under 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 41.6%. The difference — about 10.2 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Fenerbahce U19 (1X2) 2.12 2.12 0.0
Draw (1X2) 3.37 3.37 0.0
Eyupspor U19 (1X2) 2.96 2.96 0.0
Over 2.5 goals 1.58 1.58 0.0
Under 2.5 goals 2.22 2.22 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: U19 league
  • Fixture: Fenerbahce U19 vs Eyupspor U19
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Fenerbahce U19 1.32 — Eyupspor U19 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 41.9% · Probability edge: +9.9 pts · Est. EV: +15.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
U19 league U19 league — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Beşiktaş U19 6 6 0 0 18
2 Trabzonspor U19 6 5 1 0 16
3 Galatasaray U18 5 4 0 1 12
3 Galatasaray U19 6 4 0 2 12
4 Samsunspor U19 6 3 1 2 10
5 Kocaelispor U19 6 3 1 2 10
6 Konyaspor U19 6 3 1 2 10
7 İstanbul Başakşehir U19 6 3 1 2 10
8 Gaziantep U19 6 3 1 2 10
9 Fenerbahce U19 6 3 0 3 9
10 Genclerbirligi U19 6 3 0 3 9
11 Goztepe U19 6 3 0 3 9
12 Eyupspor U19 6 2 1 3 7
13 Amedspor U19 6 2 1 3 7
14 Alanyaspor U19 6 1 3 2 6
15 Rizespor U19 6 1 2 3 5
16 Kasimpasa U19 6 1 0 5 3
17 Corum U19 6 1 0 5 3
18 Erzurumspor U19 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Galatasaray U19 6 21 9 +12 12
2 Galatasaray U18 5 20 6 +14 12
3 Trabzonspor U19 6 17 5 +12 16
4 Beşiktaş U19 6 16 5 +11 18
5 Fenerbahce U19 6 14 10 +4 9
6 Samsunspor U19 6 13 7 +6 10
7 Genclerbirligi U19 6 13 9 +4 9
8 Kocaelispor U19 6 11 11 0 10
9 Konyaspor U19 6 11 11 0 10
10 İstanbul Başakşehir U19 6 11 11 0 10
11 Eyupspor U19 6 10 12 -2 7
12 Goztepe U19 6 9 9 0 9
13 Gaziantep U19 6 9 12 -3 10
14 Erzurumspor U19 6 7 18 -11 1
15 Corum U19 6 6 20 -14 3
16 Alanyaspor U19 6 5 6 -1 6
17 Rizespor U19 6 5 11 -6 5
18 Kasimpasa U19 6 5 12 -7 3
19 Amedspor U19 6 3 8 -5 7