Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana Statistics & Analysis

Posta Rangers FC

Oct 10, 2026 - 13:15

0 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 64%

Shabana

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Posta Rangers FC Shabana ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 24, 2026 · 01:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5291508

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Shabana win · Posta Rangers FC 0–1 Shabana

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: FKF Premier League
Fixture: Posta Rangers FC vs Shabana
Kickoff: 2026-08-30 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Posta Rangers FC 1.32 — Shabana 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 36.0% · Probability edge: +12.2 pts · Est. EV: +26.3%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

FKF Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	GOR Mahia	1	1	0	0	3
2	Tusker	1	1	0	0	3
3	Homeboyz	1	1	0	0	3
4	Shabana	1	1	0	0	3
5	KCB	1	0	1	0	1
6	Mara Sugar	1	0	1	0	1
7	Nairobi United	1	0	1	0	1
8	3K	1	0	1	0	1
9	Police	1	0	1	0	1
10	Migori Youth	1	0	1	0	1
11	Mathare United	1	0	1	0	1
12	AFC Leopards	1	0	1	0	1
13	Bandari	1	0	1	0	1
14	APS Bomet	1	0	1	0	1
15	Posta Rangers FC	1	0	0	1	0
16	Mombasa Elite	1	0	0	1	0
17	Murang'a SEAL	1	0	0	1	0
18	Ulinzi Stars	1	0	0	1	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	GOR Mahia	1	4	2	+2	3
2	Tusker	1	2	0	+2	3
3	KCB	1	2	2	0	1
4	Mara Sugar	1	2	2	0	1
5	Nairobi United	1	2	2	0	1
6	3K	1	2	2	0	1
7	Murang'a SEAL	1	2	4	-2	0
8	Homeboyz	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Shabana	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Police	1	1	1	0	1
11	Migori Youth	1	1	1	0	1
12	Mathare United	1	0	0	0	1
13	AFC Leopards	1	0	0	0	1
14	Bandari	1	0	0	0	1
15	APS Bomet	1	0	0	0	1
16	Posta Rangers FC	1	0	1	-1	0
17	Mombasa Elite	1	0	1	-1	0
18	Ulinzi Stars	1	0	2	-2	0