Ironi Beit Shemesh vs Tzeirey Tira Statistics & Analysis

Ironi Beit Shemesh

Oct 09, 2026 - 10:00

3 1.25

1 1.35

xG Accuracy: 56%

Tzeirey Tira

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Tzeirey Tira Ironi Beit Shemesh ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13194411

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Ironi Beit Shemesh win · Ironi Beit Shemesh 3–1 Tzeirey Tira

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga Alef
Fixture: Ironi Beit Shemesh vs Tzeirey Tira
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 10:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
xG (showing): Ironi Beit Shemesh 1.25 — Tzeirey Tira 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 48.3% · Probability edge: +3.5 pts · Est. EV: +3.1%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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