Statistics / Football / Nigeria. NPFL / Enugu Rangers vs Nasarawa United

Enugu Rangers vs Nasarawa United Statistics & Analysis

Enugu Rangers Enugu Rangers
Sep 18, 2026 - 07:30
2 1.25
1 1.35
xG Accuracy: 74%
Nasarawa United Nasarawa United
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Nasarawa United Enugu Rangers ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7449053

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Enugu Rangers win · Enugu Rangers 2–1 Nasarawa United
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: NPFL
  • Fixture: Enugu Rangers vs Nasarawa United
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Enugu Rangers 1.25 — Nasarawa United 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.5% · Implied: 36.0% · Probability edge: +18.5 pts · Est. EV: +45.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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NPFL NPFL — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Enugu Rangers 6 4 1 1 13
2 Rivers United 6 3 3 0 12
3 Barau FC 6 3 3 0 12
4 Plateau United 6 3 2 1 11
5 Doma United 6 3 1 2 10
6 Kano Pillars 5 2 3 0 9
7 Ikorodu City 6 2 3 1 9
8 Bendel Insurance 6 3 0 3 9
9 Sporting Lagos 6 2 2 2 8
10 Abia Warriors 6 2 2 2 8
11 Katsina United 6 2 2 2 8
12 Kwara United 6 2 1 3 7
13 Ranchers Bees 6 2 1 3 7
14 Nasarawa United 6 2 1 3 7
15 Warri Wolves 6 2 1 3 7
16 Shooting Stars 5 2 0 3 6
17 Niger Tornadoes 6 1 2 3 5
18 Kun Khalifat FC 6 1 2 3 5
19 Enyimba 6 1 1 4 4
20 Inter Lagos 6 1 1 4 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Rivers United 6 11 2 +9 12
2 Kano Pillars 5 10 6 +4 9
3 Barau FC 6 9 3 +6 12
4 Enugu Rangers 6 9 6 +3 13
5 Plateau United 6 9 6 +3 11
6 Doma United 6 9 8 +1 10
7 Bendel Insurance 6 9 10 -1 9
8 Ikorodu City 6 8 5 +3 9
9 Ranchers Bees 6 8 8 0 7
10 Kwara United 6 7 6 +1 7
11 Sporting Lagos 6 7 7 0 8
12 Abia Warriors 6 7 8 -1 8
13 Shooting Stars 5 7 9 -2 6
14 Enyimba 6 7 10 -3 4
15 Nasarawa United 6 6 8 -2 7
16 Niger Tornadoes 6 5 7 -2 5
17 Katsina United 6 5 8 -3 8
18 Kun Khalifat FC 6 5 13 -8 5
19 Warri Wolves 6 3 5 -2 7
20 Inter Lagos 6 3 9 -6 4
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