Bendel Insurance vs Kun Khalifat FC Statistics & Analysis

Bendel Insurance

Sep 13, 2026 - 15:00

4 1.36

2 1.24

xG Accuracy: 39%

⚽

Kun Khalifat FC

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Bendel Insurance Bendel Insurance ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7448877

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Bendel Insurance win · Bendel Insurance 4–2 Kun Khalifat FC

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: NPFL
Fixture: Bendel Insurance vs Kun Khalifat FC
Kickoff: 2026-09-13 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Bendel Insurance 1.36 — Kun Khalifat FC 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

NPFL — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Enugu Rangers	6	4	1	1	13
2	Rivers United	6	3	3	0	12
3	Barau FC	6	3	3	0	12
4	Plateau United	6	3	2	1	11
5	Doma United	6	3	1	2	10
6	Kano Pillars	5	2	3	0	9
7	Ikorodu City	6	2	3	1	9
8	Bendel Insurance	6	3	0	3	9
9	Sporting Lagos	6	2	2	2	8
10	Abia Warriors	6	2	2	2	8
11	Katsina United	6	2	2	2	8
12	Kwara United	6	2	1	3	7
13	Ranchers Bees	6	2	1	3	7
14	Nasarawa United	6	2	1	3	7
15	Warri Wolves	6	2	1	3	7
16	Shooting Stars	5	2	0	3	6
17	Niger Tornadoes	6	1	2	3	5
18	Kun Khalifat FC	6	1	2	3	5
19	Enyimba	6	1	1	4	4
20	Inter Lagos	6	1	1	4	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Rivers United	6	11	2	+9	12
2	Kano Pillars	5	10	6	+4	9
3	Barau FC	6	9	3	+6	12
4	Enugu Rangers	6	9	6	+3	13
5	Plateau United	6	9	6	+3	11
6	Doma United	6	9	8	+1	10
7	Bendel Insurance	6	9	10	-1	9
8	Ikorodu City	6	8	5	+3	9
9	Ranchers Bees	6	8	8	0	7
10	Kwara United	6	7	6	+1	7
11	Sporting Lagos	6	7	7	0	8
12	Abia Warriors	6	7	8	-1	8
13	Shooting Stars	5	7	9	-2	6
14	Enyimba	6	7	10	-3	4
15	Nasarawa United	6	6	8	-2	7
16	Niger Tornadoes	6	5	7	-2	5
17	Katsina United	6	5	8	-3	8
18	Kun Khalifat FC	6	5	13	-8	5
19	Warri Wolves	6	3	5	-2	7
20	Inter Lagos	6	3	9	-6	4