Statistics / Football / Iraq. Iraqi League / Zakho vs Newroz

Zakho vs Newroz Statistics & Analysis

Zakho Zakho
Oct 09, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.34
1 1.26
xG Accuracy: 64%
Newroz Newroz
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Zakho Newroz ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12700560

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Newroz win · Zakho 0–1 Newroz
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Iraqi League
  • Fixture: Zakho vs Newroz
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Zakho 1.34 — Newroz 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 40.1% · Probability edge: +8.1 pts · Est. EV: +14.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Iraqi League Iraqi League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Al-Karma 9 7 2 0 23
2 Newroz 9 5 3 1 18
3 Al Zawra'a 9 5 3 1 18
4 Erbil 9 5 3 1 18
5 Naft 9 5 3 1 18
6 Al Shorta 9 4 4 1 16
7 Duhok 9 2 6 1 12
8 Al Minaa Basra 9 3 3 3 12
9 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 9 2 5 2 11
10 Al-Jolan SC 9 2 5 2 11
11 Diyala 9 2 3 4 9
12 Zakho 9 2 3 4 9
13 Ghaz Al Shamal 9 1 5 3 8
14 Al Kahrabaa 9 1 5 3 8
15 Al Talaba 9 1 5 3 8
16 Naft Maysan 9 1 5 3 8
17 Mosul 9 2 2 5 8
18 Al Karkh 9 2 1 6 7
19 Gharraf 9 1 3 5 6
20 Karbala 9 1 3 5 6
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Al-Karma 9 17 7 +10 23
2 Al Zawra'a 9 15 6 +9 18
3 Newroz 9 14 4 +10 18
4 Duhok 9 14 11 +3 12
5 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 9 14 12 +2 11
6 Erbil 9 13 4 +9 18
7 Diyala 9 13 16 -3 9
8 Al Karkh 9 12 17 -5 7
9 Naft 9 11 5 +6 18
10 Al Minaa Basra 9 10 10 0 12
11 Al Shorta 9 9 4 +5 16
12 Al Talaba 9 9 14 -5 8
13 Mosul 9 9 15 -6 8
14 Al-Jolan SC 9 8 9 -1 11
15 Zakho 9 7 12 -5 9
16 Naft Maysan 9 7 12 -5 8
17 Al Kahrabaa 9 6 10 -4 8
18 Karbala 9 6 15 -9 6
19 Ghaz Al Shamal 9 4 7 -3 8
20 Gharraf 9 4 12 -8 6
Iraqi League Iraq. Iraqi League Predictions