Statistics / Football / Czech-Republic. 1. Liga Women / Sparta Praha W vs Baník Ostrava W

Sparta Praha W vs Baník Ostrava W Statistics & Analysis

Sparta Praha W Sparta Praha W
Sep 19, 2026 - 11:00
8 1.72
0 0.88
xG Accuracy: 14%
Baník Ostrava W Baník Ostrava W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Sparta Praha W Sparta Praha W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 8-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8661222

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sparta Praha W win · Sparta Praha W 8–0 Baník Ostrava W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 1. Liga Women
  • Fixture: Sparta Praha W vs Baník Ostrava W
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 55.8% · Draw 26.6% · Away 17.6%
  • xG (showing): Sparta Praha W 1.72 — Baník Ostrava W 0.88 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS No (Yes 49.5% · No 50.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 49.5% · No 50.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (12.8%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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1. Liga Women 1. Liga Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Slavia Praha W 7 7 0 0 21
2 Sparta Praha W 7 5 0 2 15
3 Slovan Liberec W 6 4 0 2 12
4 Prague Raptors W 6 4 0 2 12
5 Viktoria Plzeň W 6 3 0 3 9
6 Baník Ostrava W 7 1 1 5 4
7 Slovácko W 6 1 1 4 4
8 Horní Heršpice W 7 0 0 7 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Slavia Praha W 7 40 1 +39 21
2 Sparta Praha W 7 23 6 +17 15
3 Slovan Liberec W 6 15 9 +6 12
4 Baník Ostrava W 7 9 21 -12 4
5 Prague Raptors W 6 7 6 +1 12
6 Viktoria Plzeň W 6 7 16 -9 9
7 Slovácko W 6 2 19 -17 4
8 Horní Heršpice W 7 0 25 -25 0
1. Liga Women Czech-Republic. 1. Liga Women Predictions