Statistics / Football / Denmark. DBU Pokalen / FC Helsingor vs Hørsholm-Usserød

FC Helsingor vs Hørsholm-Usserød Statistics & Analysis

FC Helsingor FC Helsingor
Aug 25, 2026 - 15:30
2 1.25
5 1.35
xG Accuracy: 30%
Hørsholm-Usserød Hørsholm-Usserød
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Hørsholm-Usserød Hørsholm-Usserød ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-5 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 20, 2026 · 02:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4676259

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Hørsholm-Usserød win · FC Helsingor 2–5 Hørsholm-Usserød
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: DBU Pokalen
  • Fixture: FC Helsingor vs Hørsholm-Usserød
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-25 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): FC Helsingor 1.25 — Hørsholm-Usserød 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 42.9% · Probability edge: +8.9 pts · Est. EV: +8.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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