Statistics / Football / Angola. Girabola / Interclube vs Sagrada Esperança

Interclube vs Sagrada Esperança Statistics & Analysis

Interclube Interclube
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.36
1 1.24
xG Accuracy: 85%
Sagrada Esperança Sagrada Esperança
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Interclube Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13233101

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Interclube 1–1 Sagrada Esperança
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Girabola
  • Fixture: Interclube vs Sagrada Esperança
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Interclube 1.36 — Sagrada Esperança 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.4% · Implied: 40.2% · Probability edge: +14.2 pts · Est. EV: +25.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Girabola Girabola — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Wiliete 6 5 1 0 16
2 Petro de Luanda 6 4 2 0 14
3 1º de Agosto 6 4 2 0 14
4 Onze Bravos 6 4 1 1 13
5 Interclube 6 3 1 2 10
6 Desportivo Huíla 6 3 1 2 10
7 Recreativo do Libolo 6 3 0 3 9
8 1º de Maio 6 2 2 2 8
9 Sagrada Esperança 5 2 1 2 7
10 CD Lunda-Sul 6 1 3 2 6
11 Kabuscorp 7 1 3 3 6
12 Recreativo da Caála 6 1 2 3 5
13 São Salvador 6 1 2 3 5
14 FC Luanda 6 1 1 4 4
15 Sporting de Cabinda 6 0 3 3 3
16 Académica do Lobito 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Wiliete 6 13 2 +11 16
2 1º de Agosto 6 10 6 +4 14
3 Onze Bravos 6 9 4 +5 13
4 1º de Maio 6 8 7 +1 8
5 Petro de Luanda 6 7 0 +7 14
6 Interclube 6 7 5 +2 10
7 Recreativo do Libolo 6 7 11 -4 9
8 Sagrada Esperança 5 6 7 -1 7
9 FC Luanda 6 6 10 -4 4
10 Desportivo Huíla 6 5 4 +1 10
11 Recreativo da Caála 6 5 7 -2 5
12 CD Lunda-Sul 6 4 5 -1 6
13 Kabuscorp 7 4 6 -2 6
14 Sporting de Cabinda 6 3 8 -5 3
15 São Salvador 6 2 5 -3 5
16 Académica do Lobito 6 1 10 -9 1
Girabola Angola. Girabola Predictions