Statistics / Football / Angola. Girabola / 1º de Maio vs 1º de Agosto

1º de Maio vs 1º de Agosto Statistics & Analysis

1º de Maio 1º de Maio
Aug 27, 2026 - 14:30
1 1.15
2 1.45
xG Accuracy: 82%
1º de Agosto 1º de Agosto
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 1º de Agosto 1º de Agosto ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 21, 2026 · 02:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4776045

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result 1º de Agosto win · 1º de Maio 1–2 1º de Agosto
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Girabola
  • Fixture: 1º de Maio vs 1º de Agosto
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-27 14:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 28.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.4%
  • xG (showing): 1º de Maio 1.15 — 1º de Agosto 1.45 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Girabola Girabola — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Wiliete 4 4 0 0 12
2 1º de Agosto 4 3 1 0 10
3 Interclube 4 3 0 1 9
4 Petro de Luanda 3 2 1 0 7
5 Onze Bravos 3 2 0 1 6
6 Desportivo Huíla 4 2 0 2 6
7 Recreativo do Libolo 4 2 0 2 6
8 CD Lunda-Sul 4 1 2 1 5
9 1º de Maio 4 1 1 2 4
10 Recreativo da Caála 4 1 1 2 4
11 FC Luanda 4 1 1 2 4
12 Sagrada Esperança 3 1 0 2 3
13 São Salvador 3 1 0 2 3
14 Kabuscorp 2 0 2 0 2
15 Sporting de Cabinda 4 0 1 3 1
16 Académica do Lobito 4 0 0 4 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Wiliete 4 7 1 +6 12
2 1º de Agosto 4 6 3 +3 10
3 Interclube 4 6 3 +3 9
4 Petro de Luanda 3 5 0 +5 7
5 Recreativo do Libolo 4 5 5 0 6
6 1º de Maio 4 5 5 0 4
7 Onze Bravos 3 4 1 +3 6
8 Desportivo Huíla 4 4 4 0 6
9 CD Lunda-Sul 4 4 4 0 5
10 Recreativo da Caála 4 4 5 -1 4
11 Sagrada Esperança 3 4 6 -2 3
12 FC Luanda 4 3 5 -2 4
13 Sporting de Cabinda 4 3 8 -5 1
14 Kabuscorp 2 2 2 0 2
15 São Salvador 3 2 4 -2 3
16 Académica do Lobito 4 0 8 -8 0
Girabola Angola. Girabola Predictions