Statistics / Football / Angola. Girabola / Recreativo do Libolo vs Onze Bravos

Recreativo do Libolo vs Onze Bravos Statistics & Analysis

Recreativo do Libolo Recreativo do Libolo
Aug 31, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.20
1 1.40
xG Accuracy: 64%
Onze Bravos Onze Bravos
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Onze Bravos Onze Bravos ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 24, 2026 · 01:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5296134

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Onze Bravos win · Recreativo do Libolo 0–1 Onze Bravos
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Girabola
  • Fixture: Recreativo do Libolo vs Onze Bravos
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-30 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
  • xG (showing): Recreativo do Libolo 1.2 — Onze Bravos 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Girabola Girabola — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Wiliete 5 5 0 0 15
2 1º de Agosto 5 4 1 0 13
3 Onze Bravos 5 4 0 1 12
4 Petro de Luanda 4 3 1 0 10
5 Interclube 5 3 0 2 9
6 Desportivo Huíla 5 3 0 2 9
7 1º de Maio 5 2 1 2 7
8 Recreativo do Libolo 5 2 0 3 6
9 Kabuscorp 4 1 2 1 5
10 CD Lunda-Sul 5 1 2 2 5
11 Recreativo da Caála 5 1 1 3 4
12 FC Luanda 5 1 1 3 4
13 São Salvador 5 1 1 3 4
14 Sagrada Esperança 3 1 0 2 3
15 Sporting de Cabinda 5 0 2 3 2
16 Académica do Lobito 5 0 0 5 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Wiliete 5 12 1 +11 15
2 1º de Agosto 5 9 5 +4 13
3 Onze Bravos 5 7 2 +5 12
4 Petro de Luanda 4 6 0 +6 10
5 Interclube 5 6 4 +2 9
6 1º de Maio 5 6 5 +1 7
7 Desportivo Huíla 5 5 4 +1 9
8 Recreativo da Caála 5 5 7 -2 4
9 FC Luanda 5 5 8 -3 4
10 Recreativo do Libolo 5 5 10 -5 6
11 CD Lunda-Sul 5 4 5 -1 5
12 Sagrada Esperança 3 4 6 -2 3
13 Kabuscorp 4 3 3 0 5
14 Sporting de Cabinda 5 3 8 -5 2
15 São Salvador 5 2 5 -3 4
16 Académica do Lobito 5 0 9 -9 0
Girabola Angola. Girabola Predictions