Statistics / Football / Brazil. Pernambucano - U20 / Central SC U20 vs Ipojuca U20

Central SC U20 vs Ipojuca U20 Statistics & Analysis

Central SC U20 Central SC U20
Sep 02, 2026 - 18:00
0 1.41
2 1.19
xG Accuracy: 54%
Ipojuca U20 Ipojuca U20
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Central SC U20 Ipojuca U20 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 27, 2026 · 02:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5627469

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ipojuca U20 win · Central SC U20 0–2 Ipojuca U20
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Pernambucano - U20
  • Fixture: Central SC U20 vs Ipojuca U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-02 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away 30.1%
  • xG (showing): Central SC U20 1.41 — Ipojuca U20 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Pernambucano - U20 Pernambucano - U20 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Santa Cruz U20 7 5 2 0 17
1 Sport Recife U20 6 5 0 1 15
2 Retrô U20 7 4 2 1 14
2 Academica Vitoria U20 6 5 0 1 15
3 Central SC U20 8 3 3 2 12
3 Nautico U20 5 4 0 1 12
4 Ipojuca U20 7 3 3 1 12
4 Petrolina U20 6 3 1 2 10
5 CA Porto U20 7 3 2 2 11
5 America PE U20 6 3 0 3 9
6 1º de Maio U20 7 2 2 3 8
6 Serrano PE U20 6 1 2 3 5
7 Ibis Sport Club U20 7 2 1 4 7
7 Jaguar U20 5 0 1 4 1
8 Atletico PE U20 7 0 3 4 3
8 Guarany U20 6 0 0 6 0
9 Atletico Torres U20 7 0 2 5 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Santa Cruz U20 7 24 2 +22 17
2 Sport Recife U20 6 19 2 +17 15
3 Retrô U20 7 16 4 +12 14
4 America PE U20 6 16 6 +10 9
5 CA Porto U20 7 14 3 +11 11
6 Nautico U20 5 14 4 +10 12
7 Central SC U20 8 14 9 +5 12
8 Academica Vitoria U20 6 12 6 +6 15
9 Ipojuca U20 7 10 9 +1 12
10 Ibis Sport Club U20 7 10 13 -3 7
11 1º de Maio U20 7 8 18 -10 8
12 Petrolina U20 6 6 7 -1 10
13 Atletico PE U20 7 6 26 -20 3
14 Serrano PE U20 6 4 7 -3 5
15 Jaguar U20 5 2 12 -10 1
16 Atletico Torres U20 7 2 20 -18 2
17 Guarany U20 6 2 31 -29 0
Pernambucano - U20 Brazil. Pernambucano - U20 Predictions