Statistics / Football / Brazil. Pernambucano - U20 / 1º de Maio U20 vs Atletico PE U20

1º de Maio U20 vs Atletico PE U20 Statistics & Analysis

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1º de Maio U20
Aug 22, 2026 - 18:00
1 1.34
1 1.26
xG Accuracy: 85%
Atletico PE U20 Atletico PE U20
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 1º de Maio U20 Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 02:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4240434

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · 1º de Maio U20 1–1 Atletico PE U20
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Pernambucano - U20
  • Fixture: 1º de Maio U20 vs Atletico PE U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-22 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): 1º de Maio U20 1.34 — Atletico PE U20 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Pernambucano - U20 Pernambucano - U20 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Santa Cruz U20 8 6 2 0 20
1 Sport Recife U20 6 5 0 1 15
2 Retrô U20 8 5 2 1 17
2 Nautico U20 6 5 0 1 15
3 Ipojuca U20 8 4 3 1 15
3 Academica Vitoria U20 6 5 0 1 15
4 CA Porto U20 8 4 2 2 14
4 Petrolina U20 6 3 1 2 10
5 Central SC U20 8 3 3 2 12
5 America PE U20 6 3 0 3 9
6 1º de Maio U20 8 2 2 4 8
6 Serrano PE U20 6 1 2 3 5
7 Ibis Sport Club U20 8 2 1 5 7
7 Jaguar U20 6 0 1 5 1
8 Atletico PE U20 8 0 3 5 3
8 Guarany U20 6 0 0 6 0
9 Atletico Torres U20 8 0 2 6 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Santa Cruz U20 8 31 2 +29 20
2 Retrô U20 8 20 4 +16 17
3 Sport Recife U20 6 19 2 +17 15
4 Nautico U20 6 16 5 +11 15
5 America PE U20 6 16 6 +10 9
6 CA Porto U20 8 15 3 +12 14
7 Ipojuca U20 8 14 9 +5 15
8 Central SC U20 8 14 9 +5 12
9 Academica Vitoria U20 6 12 6 +6 15
10 Ibis Sport Club U20 8 10 20 -10 7
11 1º de Maio U20 8 8 19 -11 8
12 Petrolina U20 6 6 7 -1 10
13 Atletico PE U20 8 6 30 -24 3
14 Serrano PE U20 6 4 7 -3 5
15 Jaguar U20 6 3 14 -11 1
16 Atletico Torres U20 8 2 24 -22 2
17 Guarany U20 6 2 31 -29 0
Pernambucano - U20 Brazil. Pernambucano - U20 Predictions