Millwall U21 vs West Ham United U21 Statistics & Analysis

Millwall U21

Oct 09, 2026 - 18:00

1 1.26

0 1.34

xG Accuracy: 64%

West Ham United U21

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 West Ham United U21 Millwall U21 ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12703761

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Millwall U21 win · Millwall U21 1–0 West Ham United U21

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Premier League Cup
Fixture: Millwall U21 vs West Ham United U21
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
xG (showing): Millwall U21 1.26 — West Ham United U21 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 36.1% · Probability edge: +15.7 pts · Est. EV: +42.4%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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