Brøndby vs Spartak Subotica Statistics & Analysis

Brøndby

Sep 02, 2026 - 16:00

4 1.29

1 1.31

xG Accuracy: 44%

Spartak Subotica

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Spartak Subotica Brøndby ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 27, 2026 · 02:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5624176

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Brøndby win · Brøndby 4–1 Spartak Subotica

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: UEFA Europa Cup - Women
Fixture: Brøndby vs Spartak Subotica
Kickoff: 2026-09-02 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
xG (showing): Brøndby 1.29 — Spartak Subotica 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 54.5% · Implied: 29.9% · Probability edge: +24.6 pts · Est. EV: +95.1%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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