Statistics / Football / Vietnam. V.League 2 / Thai Nguyen vs Binh Dinh

Thai Nguyen vs Binh Dinh Statistics & Analysis

⚽
Thai Nguyen
Sep 13, 2026 - 11:00
2 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 77%
Binh Dinh Binh Dinh
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Thai Nguyen Thai Nguyen ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:08 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7426643

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Thai Nguyen win · Thai Nguyen 2–1 Binh Dinh
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: V.League 2
  • Fixture: Thai Nguyen vs Binh Dinh
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Thai Nguyen 1.32 — Binh Dinh 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
V.League 2 V.League 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Hung Yen 1 1 0 0 3
2 Dong Thap 1 1 0 0 3
3 Pho Hien 1 1 0 0 3
4 Thai Nguyen 1 1 0 0 3
5 Ho Chi Minh City 1 1 0 0 3
6 Sanna Khanh Hoa 1 0 1 0 1
7 Xuan Thien Phu Tho 1 0 1 0 1
8 Binh Duong 1 0 1 0 1
9 Văn Hiến 1 0 1 0 1
10 Binh Dinh 1 0 0 1 0
11 Long An 1 0 0 1 0
12 Lam Dong 1 0 0 1 0
13 Bóng đá Huế 1 0 0 1 0
14 Than Quang Ninh 1 0 0 1 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Hung Yen 1 3 0 +3 3
2 Dong Thap 1 2 0 +2 3
3 Pho Hien 1 2 1 +1 3
4 Thai Nguyen 1 2 1 +1 3
5 Ho Chi Minh City 1 1 0 +1 3
6 Sanna Khanh Hoa 1 1 1 0 1
7 Xuan Thien Phu Tho 1 1 1 0 1
8 Binh Dinh 1 1 2 -1 0
9 Long An 1 1 2 -1 0
10 Binh Duong 1 0 0 0 1
11 Văn Hiến 1 0 0 0 1
12 Lam Dong 1 0 1 -1 0
13 Bóng đá Huế 1 0 2 -2 0
14 Than Quang Ninh 1 0 3 -3 0