Statistics / Football / Italy. Serie D - Girone G / Budoni vs Anzio

Budoni vs Anzio Statistics & Analysis

Budoni Budoni
Sep 20, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 58%
Anzio Anzio
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Budoni Budoni ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8676353

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Budoni win · Budoni 2–0 Anzio
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Serie D - Girone G
  • Fixture: Budoni vs Anzio
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Budoni 1.32 — Anzio 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Serie D - Girone G Serie D - Girone G — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Paganese 4 3 1 0 10
2 Sarnese 4 3 1 0 10
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 4 3 0 1 9
4 Monastir 4 3 0 1 9
5 Unipomezia 4 2 1 1 7
6 Albalonga 4 2 1 1 7
7 Ossese 4 2 1 1 7
8 Trastevere 4 2 1 1 7
9 Real Casalnuovo 4 1 3 0 6
10 Aranova 4 1 2 1 5
11 Budoni 4 1 1 2 4
12 Anzio 4 1 1 2 4
13 Gelbison 4 1 1 2 4
14 Sarrabus Ogliastra 4 1 1 2 4
15 Città di Anagni 4 1 0 3 3
16 Latte Dolce 4 0 1 3 1
17 Atletico Lodigiani 4 0 1 3 1
18 Venafro 4 0 1 3 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Paganese 4 11 4 +7 10
2 Monastir 4 10 6 +4 9
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 4 7 1 +6 9
4 Sarnese 4 7 3 +4 10
5 Albalonga 4 7 5 +2 7
6 Unipomezia 4 6 3 +3 7
7 Budoni 4 6 6 0 4
8 Real Casalnuovo 4 5 1 +4 6
9 Ossese 4 5 3 +2 7
10 Trastevere 4 5 8 -3 7
11 Latte Dolce 4 5 10 -5 1
12 Atletico Lodigiani 4 5 11 -6 1
13 Aranova 4 4 4 0 5
14 Gelbison 4 4 6 -2 4
15 Anzio 4 3 4 -1 4
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 4 3 5 -2 4
17 Città di Anagni 4 3 10 -7 3
18 Venafro 4 1 7 -6 1
Serie D - Girone G Italy. Serie D - Girone G Predictions