Statistics / Football / Italy. Serie D - Girone H / Manfredonia vs Bisceglie

Manfredonia vs Bisceglie Statistics & Analysis

Manfredonia Manfredonia
Oct 04, 2026 - 13:30
1 1.30
0 1.30
xG Accuracy: 64%
Bisceglie Bisceglie
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Manfredonia Manfredonia ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:43 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11672671

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Manfredonia win · Manfredonia 1–0 Bisceglie
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Serie D - Girone H
  • Fixture: Manfredonia vs Bisceglie
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Manfredonia 1.3 — Bisceglie 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 45.9% · Probability edge: +5.9 pts · Est. EV: +10.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Serie D - Girone H Serie D - Girone H — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Virtus Francavilla 6 5 0 1 15
2 Nocerina 6 4 1 1 13
3 Martina Franca 6 4 0 2 12
4 Bisceglie 6 4 0 2 12
5 Turris 6 3 3 0 12
6 Gravina 6 3 2 1 11
7 Manfredonia 6 3 2 1 11
8 Real Agro Aversa 6 3 1 2 10
9 Brindisi 6 3 0 3 9
10 Ebolitana 6 2 2 2 8
11 Real Forio 2014 6 2 1 3 7
12 Gladiator 6 2 1 3 7
13 USD Palmese 6 2 1 3 7
14 Nardò 6 1 2 3 5
15 Melfi 6 1 1 4 4
16 Fidelis Andria 6 1 1 4 4
17 Francavilla 6 1 0 5 3
18 Ischia 6 0 2 4 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Martina Franca 6 12 7 +5 12
2 Gravina 6 12 7 +5 11
3 Virtus Francavilla 6 12 8 +4 15
4 Nocerina 6 12 8 +4 13
5 Bisceglie 6 11 6 +5 12
6 Manfredonia 6 10 6 +4 11
7 Real Agro Aversa 6 10 10 0 10
8 Real Forio 2014 6 10 10 0 7
9 Turris 6 9 5 +4 12
10 Gladiator 6 9 11 -2 7
11 USD Palmese 6 9 12 -3 7
12 Brindisi 6 8 8 0 9
13 Ischia 6 7 12 -5 2
14 Ebolitana 6 6 8 -2 8
15 Fidelis Andria 6 6 11 -5 4
16 Nardò 6 5 11 -6 5
17 Francavilla 6 3 7 -4 3
18 Melfi 6 2 6 -4 4
Serie D - Girone H Italy. Serie D - Girone H Predictions