Statistics / Football / Italy. Serie D - Girone E / Terranuova Traiana vs Prato

Terranuova Traiana vs Prato Statistics & Analysis

Terranuova Traiana Terranuova Traiana
Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.20
1 1.40
xG Accuracy: 85%
Prato Prato
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Prato Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11672335

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Terranuova Traiana 1–1 Prato
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Serie D - Girone E
  • Fixture: Terranuova Traiana vs Prato
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
  • xG (showing): Terranuova Traiana 1.2 — Prato 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Terranuova Traiana & Prato!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Serie D - Girone E Serie D - Girone E — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Gavorrano 6 4 2 0 14
2 Prato 6 4 2 0 14
3 Lucchese 6 4 1 1 13
4 Tau Altopascio 6 4 0 2 12
5 Scandicci 6 3 2 1 11
6 Flaminia 6 3 2 1 11
7 Seravezza 6 3 1 2 10
8 Robur Siena 6 3 1 2 10
9 Ternana 6 2 2 2 8
10 Terranuova Traiana 6 2 2 2 8
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 6 2 2 2 8
12 Montevarchi Calcio 6 2 1 3 7
13 Mezzolara 6 1 4 1 7
14 Rondinella 6 1 2 3 5
15 Sasso Marconi Zola 6 1 1 4 4
16 Progresso 6 1 0 5 3
17 Grassina 6 0 2 4 2
18 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Lucchese 6 16 11 +5 13
2 Seravezza 6 14 5 +9 10
3 Robur Siena 6 13 8 +5 10
4 Terranuova Traiana 6 11 9 +2 8
5 Scandicci 6 10 5 +5 11
6 Tau Altopascio 6 10 12 -2 12
7 Gavorrano 6 9 3 +6 14
8 Prato 6 9 4 +5 14
9 Ternana 6 9 5 +4 8
10 Flaminia 6 9 9 0 11
11 Montevarchi Calcio 6 9 11 -2 7
12 San Donato Tavarnelle 6 8 8 0 8
13 Sasso Marconi Zola 6 6 11 -5 4
14 Grassina 6 6 13 -7 2
15 Rondinella 6 5 10 -5 5
16 Mezzolara 6 4 6 -2 7
17 Progresso 6 4 15 -11 3
18 Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano 6 3 10 -7 1
Serie D - Girone E Italy. Serie D - Girone E Predictions