Statistics / Football / Italy. Serie D - Girone D / Città di Varese vs Oltrepò

Città di Varese vs Oltrepò Statistics & Analysis

Città di Varese Città di Varese
Oct 11, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 58%
Oltrepò Oltrepò
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Città di Varese Città di Varese ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13212218

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Città di Varese win · Città di Varese 2–0 Oltrepò
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Serie D - Girone D
  • Fixture: Città di Varese vs Oltrepò
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Città di Varese 1.32 — Oltrepò 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Città di Varese & Oltrepò!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Serie D - Girone D Serie D - Girone D — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Pistoiese 6 6 0 0 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 4 1 1 13
3 Pro Patria 6 4 1 1 13
4 Lentigione 6 4 1 1 13
5 Castellanzese 6 4 0 2 12
6 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 3 1 2 10
7 USD Casatese 6 3 1 2 10
8 Correggese 6 3 1 2 10
9 Sant'Angelo 6 2 2 2 8
10 Pavia 6 1 4 1 7
11 Città di Varese 6 1 3 2 6
12 Varesina 6 1 2 3 5
13 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 5
14 Coriano 4 1 1 2 4
15 Crema 6 1 1 4 4
16 Arconatese 6 0 3 3 3
17 Oltrepò 6 1 0 5 3
18 Pontedera 5 0 0 5 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Pistoiese 6 17 1 +16 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 17 5 +12 13
3 Castellanzese 6 13 5 +8 12
4 Pro Patria 6 10 4 +6 13
5 USD Casatese 6 10 9 +1 10
6 Lentigione 6 9 6 +3 13
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 7 4 +3 10
8 Sant'Angelo 6 7 7 0 8
9 Città di Varese 6 7 7 0 6
10 Correggese 6 7 9 -2 10
11 Varesina 6 7 10 -3 5
12 Pavia 6 5 3 +2 7
13 Arconatese 6 4 13 -9 3
14 Crema 6 4 14 -10 4
15 Oltrepò 6 4 14 -10 3
16 Coriano 4 3 4 -1 4
17 Pontedera 5 3 15 -12 0
18 Solbiatese 5 2 6 -4 5
Serie D - Girone D Italy. Serie D - Girone D Predictions