Statistics / Football / Italy. Serie D - Girone I / Gela vs Enna

Gela vs Enna Statistics & Analysis

Gela Gela
Sep 20, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.23
0 1.37
xG Accuracy: 49%
Enna Enna
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Enna Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8674299

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Gela 0–0 Enna
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Serie D - Girone I
  • Fixture: Gela vs Enna
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.5%
  • xG (showing): Gela 1.23 — Enna 1.37 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Serie D - Girone I Serie D - Girone I — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Reggina 4 4 0 0 12
2 Igea Virtus 4 3 1 0 10
3 Sambiase 4 3 1 0 10
4 Licata 5 2 2 1 8
5 Vibonese 4 2 1 1 7
6 Nissa 4 2 1 1 7
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 4 1 3 0 6
8 Milazzo 4 2 0 2 6
9 Calcio Avola 4 2 0 2 6
10 CastrumFavara 4 1 1 2 4
11 Modica 4 1 1 2 4
12 AC Palermo 4 1 1 2 4
13 Gela 4 1 1 2 3
14 Ragusa 4 0 2 2 2
15 Vigor Lamezia 4 0 2 2 2
16 Siracusa 4 2 2 0 1
17 Enna 5 0 1 4 1
18 Trapani 1905 4 0 0 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Reggina 4 13 0 +13 12
2 Igea Virtus 4 13 8 +5 10
3 Vibonese 4 11 5 +6 7
4 Nissa 4 8 6 +2 7
5 Digiesse PraiaTortora 4 7 2 +5 6
6 Siracusa 4 7 4 +3 1
7 Calcio Avola 4 7 10 -3 6
8 Licata 5 6 7 -1 8
9 AC Palermo 4 6 8 -2 4
10 Sambiase 4 5 2 +3 10
11 CastrumFavara 4 5 4 +1 4
12 Milazzo 4 4 5 -1 6
13 Gela 4 4 5 -1 3
14 Ragusa 4 4 7 -3 2
15 Vigor Lamezia 4 4 9 -5 2
16 Modica 4 3 4 -1 4
17 Trapani 1905 4 1 10 -9
18 Enna 5 0 12 -12 1