Statistics / Football / Italy. Serie D - Girone C / Legnago Salus vs Bassano Virtus

Legnago Salus vs Bassano Virtus Statistics & Analysis

Legnago Salus Legnago Salus
Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.35
2 1.25
xG Accuracy: 56%
Bassano Virtus Bassano Virtus
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Legnago Salus Bassano Virtus ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11670716

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bassano Virtus win · Legnago Salus 0–2 Bassano Virtus
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Serie D - Girone C
  • Fixture: Legnago Salus vs Bassano Virtus
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
  • xG (showing): Legnago Salus 1.35 — Bassano Virtus 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 44.9% · Probability edge: +3.3 pts · Est. EV: +2.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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Serie D - Girone C Serie D - Girone C — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 5 0 1 15
2 Luparense 5 3 2 0 11
3 Clodiense 5 3 1 1 10
4 Mestre 5 2 3 0 9
5 Campodarsego 5 3 0 2 9
6 Sandona 5 2 2 1 8
7 LME 6 2 2 2 8
8 Legnago Salus 5 2 1 2 7
9 Conegliano 5 2 1 2 7
10 Altavilla 6 1 3 2 6
11 Bassano Virtus 5 1 3 1 6
12 Virtus Bolzano 5 2 0 3 6
13 Calvi Noale 5 1 2 2 5
14 FC Obermais 5 1 2 2 5
15 Este 5 1 1 3 4
16 Schio 6 0 4 2 4
17 Triestina 5 0 3 2 3
18 Brian Lignano 5 1 0 4 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 17 5 +12 15
2 Altavilla 6 14 9 +5 6
3 Luparense 5 11 2 +9 11
4 Clodiense 5 9 7 +2 10
5 Campodarsego 5 9 7 +2 9
6 Mestre 5 8 5 +3 9
7 Legnago Salus 5 6 7 -1 7
8 FC Obermais 5 6 9 -3 5
9 Brian Lignano 5 6 11 -5 3
10 Sandona 5 5 4 +1 8
11 LME 6 5 7 -2 8
12 Bassano Virtus 5 4 3 +1 6
13 Triestina 5 4 8 -4 3
14 Virtus Bolzano 5 4 15 -11 6
15 Este 5 3 4 -1 4
16 Schio 6 3 6 -3 4
17 Calvi Noale 5 2 4 -2 5
18 Conegliano 5 2 5 -3 7
Serie D - Girone C Italy. Serie D - Girone C Predictions