Statistics / Football / World. Africa Cup of Nations - Women / Morocco W vs Algeria W

Morocco W vs Algeria W Statistics & Analysis

Morocco W Morocco W
Aug 15, 2026 - 17:00
1(2) 1.38
1(3) 1.22
xG Accuracy: 85%
Algeria W Algeria W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Morocco W Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 14, 2026 · 02:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3896920

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Morocco W 1–1 Algeria W
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Africa Cup of Nations - Women
  • Fixture: Morocco W vs Algeria W
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-15 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Morocco W 1.38 — Algeria W 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Africa Cup of Nations - Women Africa Cup of Nations - Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 7
2 Algeria W 3 2 0 1 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 1 1 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Morocco W 3 5 0 +5 7
2 Algeria W 3 4 1 +3 6
3 Senegal W 3 1 2 -1 4
4 Kenya W 3 0 7 -7 0