Statistics / Football / Andorra. 1a Divisió / Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Esperança d'Andorra

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Esperança d'Andorra Statistics & Analysis

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes Atlètic Club d'Escaldes
Oct 11, 2026 - 18:00
1 1.48
1 1.12
xG Accuracy: 85%
Esperança d'Andorra Esperança d'Andorra
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13234356

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1–1 Esperança d'Andorra
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 1a Divisió
  • Fixture: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Esperança d'Andorra
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 43.9% · Draw 29.1% · Away 27.1%
  • xG (showing): Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1.48 — Esperança d'Andorra 1.12 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.6% · No 46.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
1a Divisió 1a Divisió — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 FC Santa Coloma 3 3 0 0 9
2 Inter Club d'Escaldes 3 2 1 0 7
3 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 3 2 1 0 7
4 Ordino 3 2 0 1 6
5 Ranger's 3 1 1 1 4
6 Esperança d'Andorra 3 1 1 1 4
7 Penya Encarnada 3 0 2 1 2
8 Casa de Portugal 3 0 1 2 1
9 Carroi 3 0 1 2 1
10 Sporting Escaldes 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 FC Santa Coloma 3 12 1 +11 9
2 Inter Club d'Escaldes 3 8 2 +6 7
3 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 3 8 2 +6 7
4 Esperança d'Andorra 3 7 4 +3 4
5 Ordino 3 5 7 -2 6
6 Ranger's 3 3 5 -2 4
7 Penya Encarnada 3 3 7 -4 2
8 Casa de Portugal 3 3 7 -4 1
9 Sporting Escaldes 3 3 11 -8 0
10 Carroi 3 2 8 -6 1
1a Divisió Andorra. 1a Divisió Predictions