Statistics / Football / Bahrain. Premier League / Al Ittifaq Maqaba vs Muharraq

Al Ittifaq Maqaba vs Muharraq Statistics & Analysis

Sep 04, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.09
0 1.51
xG Accuracy: 64%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Muharraq Al Ittifaq Maqaba ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 29, 2026 · 01:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5913891

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Al Ittifaq Maqaba win · Al Ittifaq Maqaba 1–0 Muharraq
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Al Ittifaq Maqaba vs Muharraq
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-04 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 25.8% · Draw 28.9% · Away 45.3%
  • xG (showing): Al Ittifaq Maqaba 1.09 — Muharraq 1.51 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.3% · No 46.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Khalidiya 3 2 1 0 7
2 Al Riffa 3 2 1 0 7
3 Al Ittifaq Maqaba 3 2 0 1 6
4 Sitra 3 1 2 0 5
5 Al Ahli 3 1 1 1 4
6 Al-Hidd 3 1 1 1 4
7 Muharraq 3 1 1 1 4
8 A'Ali 3 1 1 1 4
9 East Riffa 3 1 1 1 4
10 Al Najma 3 1 0 2 3
11 Manama 3 0 1 2 1
12 Malkiya 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Khalidiya 3 10 3 +7 7
2 Al Riffa 3 7 1 +6 7
3 Al Najma 3 5 10 -5 3
4 Muharraq 3 4 3 +1 4
5 Sitra 3 3 0 +3 5
6 Al Ittifaq Maqaba 3 3 2 +1 6
7 A'Ali 3 3 4 -1 4
8 East Riffa 3 3 4 -1 4
9 Manama 3 3 9 -6 1
10 Al-Hidd 3 2 1 +1 4
11 Al Ahli 3 2 3 -1 4
12 Malkiya 3 0 5 -5 0