Kazma vs Al Arabi Statistics & Analysis

Kazma

Oct 09, 2026 - 17:05

1 1.29

1 1.31

xG Accuracy: 85%

Al Arabi

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Al Arabi Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12701302

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Kazma 1–1 Al Arabi

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Premier League
Fixture: Kazma vs Al Arabi
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 17:45:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
xG (showing): Kazma 1.29 — Al Arabi 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 48.0% · Probability edge: +3.8 pts · Est. EV: +6.2%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Kazma	3	2	1	0	7
2	Al Kuwait	3	2	1	0	7
3	Al Qadsia	3	2	0	1	6
4	Al Salmiyah	3	2	0	1	6
5	Al Nasar	3	2	0	1	6
6	Al Shabab	3	1	1	1	4
7	Al Sahel	3	1	1	1	4
8	Al Fahaheel	3	1	0	2	3
9	Al Jahra	3	1	0	2	3
10	Al Arabi	3	0	2	1	2
11	Al Sulaibikhat	3	0	2	1	2
12	Al Tadhamon	3	0	0	3	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Al Arabi	3	7	8	-1	2
2	Kazma	3	6	3	+3	7
3	Al Fahaheel	3	6	5	+1	3
4	Al Shabab	3	6	6	0	4
5	Al Qadsia	3	5	2	+3	6
6	Al Kuwait	3	5	3	+2	7
7	Al Salmiyah	3	4	2	+2	6
8	Al Nasar	3	4	5	-1	6
9	Al Jahra	3	4	5	-1	3
10	Al Sulaibikhat	3	4	5	-1	2
11	Al Tadhamon	3	2	9	-7	0
12	Al Sahel	3	1	1	0	4