Al Tadhamon vs Al Qadsia Statistics & Analysis

Al Tadhamon

Oct 10, 2026 - 14:50

0 1.17

2 1.43

xG Accuracy: 62%

Al Qadsia

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Al Qadsia Al Qadsia ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12701160

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Al Qadsia win · Al Tadhamon 0–2 Al Qadsia

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Premier League
Fixture: Al Tadhamon vs Al Qadsia
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 17:45:00
1X2 (model): Home 29.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.4%
xG (showing): Al Tadhamon 1.17 — Al Qadsia 1.43 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Al Kuwait	4	3	1	0	10
2	Al Qadsia	4	3	0	1	9
3	Kazma	4	2	2	0	8
4	Al Shabab	4	2	1	1	7
5	Al Fahaheel	4	2	0	2	6
6	Al Salmiyah	4	2	0	2	6
7	Al Nasar	4	2	0	2	6
8	Al Jahra	4	1	1	2	4
9	Al Sahel	4	1	1	2	4
10	Al Arabi	4	0	3	1	3
11	Al Sulaibikhat	4	0	3	1	3
12	Al Tadhamon	4	0	0	4	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Al Kuwait	4	12	4	+8	10
2	Al Fahaheel	4	10	5	+5	6
3	Al Shabab	4	8	6	+2	7
4	Al Arabi	4	8	9	-1	3
5	Al Qadsia	4	7	2	+5	9
6	Kazma	4	7	4	+3	8
7	Al Jahra	4	5	6	-1	4
8	Al Sulaibikhat	4	5	6	-1	3
9	Al Nasar	4	5	12	-7	6
10	Al Salmiyah	4	4	4	0	6
11	Al Tadhamon	4	2	11	-9	0
12	Al Sahel	4	1	1	0	4