Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud vs Csikszereda MC Statistics & Analysis

Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud

Aug 22, 2026 - 10:00

2 1.20

4 1.40

xG Accuracy: 39%

Csikszereda MC

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Csikszereda MC Csikszereda MC ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-4 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 01:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4214066

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Csikszereda MC win · Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud 2–4 Csikszereda MC

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Liga 1 Feminin
Fixture: Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud vs Csikszereda MC
Kickoff: 2026-08-22 10:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
xG (showing): Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud 1.2 — Csikszereda MC 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga 1 Feminin — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	L	PTS
1	Farul Constanţa W	5	4	1	12
2	SSU Poli Timişoara W	6	4	2	12
3	Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud	5	4	1	12
4	Csikszereda MC	5	4	1	12
5	Olimpia Cluj	5	3	2	9
6	FC Rapid Bucuresti W	6	1	5	3
7	Univ. Craiova W	5	1	4	3
8	Vasas Femina W	5	0	5	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Farul Constanţa W	5	49	4	+45	12
2	SSU Poli Timişoara W	6	30	6	+24	12
3	Gloria Bistrița-Năsăud	5	24	6	+18	12
4	Csikszereda MC	5	24	8	+16	12
5	Olimpia Cluj	5	16	14	+2	9
6	FC Rapid Bucuresti W	6	15	31	-16	3
7	Univ. Craiova W	5	5	35	-30	3
8	Vasas Femina W	5	1	60	-59	0