Statistics / Football / England. U18 Premier League - South / Reading U18 vs Brighton U18

Reading U18 vs Brighton U18 Statistics & Analysis

Reading U18 Reading U18
Sep 05, 2026 - 10:30
1 1.17
1 1.43
xG Accuracy: 85%
Brighton U18 Brighton U18
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Brighton U18 Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 01:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6126706

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Reading U18 1–1 Brighton U18
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: U18 Premier League - South
  • Fixture: Reading U18 vs Brighton U18
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-05 10:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 29.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.4%
  • xG (showing): Reading U18 1.17 — Brighton U18 1.43 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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U18 Premier League - South U18 Premier League - South — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tottenham Hotspur U18 6 5 1 0 16
2 Chelsea U18 6 4 0 2 12
3 Southampton U18 6 4 0 2 12
4 Fulham U18 6 3 3 0 12
5 Arsenal U18 6 3 1 2 10
6 West Ham United U18 6 3 1 2 10
7 Brighton U18 6 3 1 2 10
8 Brentford U18 6 3 0 3 9
9 Ipswich Town U18 6 3 0 3 9
10 Aston Villa U18 6 2 2 2 8
11 West Bromwich Albion U18 6 2 1 3 7
12 Norwich City U18 6 2 0 4 6
13 AFC Bournemouth U18 6 1 2 3 5
14 Crystal Palace U18 6 1 1 4 4
15 Reading U18 6 1 1 4 4
16 Birmingham City U18 6 1 0 5 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Tottenham Hotspur U18 6 33 9 +24 16
2 Chelsea U18 6 25 10 +15 12
3 Fulham U18 6 23 15 +8 12
4 Southampton U18 6 21 12 +9 12
5 West Ham United U18 6 16 15 +1 10
6 Aston Villa U18 6 15 13 +2 8
7 Brentford U18 6 15 15 0 9
8 Ipswich Town U18 6 15 15 0 9
9 Brighton U18 6 15 17 -2 10
10 AFC Bournemouth U18 6 14 22 -8 5
11 Norwich City U18 6 13 22 -9 6
12 Arsenal U18 6 10 6 +4 10
13 Crystal Palace U18 6 9 15 -6 4
14 Reading U18 6 9 22 -13 4
15 Birmingham City U18 6 6 22 -16 3
16 West Bromwich Albion U18 6 5 14 -9 7