Kfar Saba 1928 vs Hapoel Marmorek Statistics & Analysis

Kfar Saba 1928

Oct 01, 2026 - 16:30

2 1.33

2 1.27

xG Accuracy: 68%

Hapoel Marmorek

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Kfar Saba 1928 Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 24, 2026 · 00:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10584404

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Kfar Saba 1928 2–2 Hapoel Marmorek

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga Alef
Fixture: Kfar Saba 1928 vs Hapoel Marmorek
Kickoff: 2026-10-01 16:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): Kfar Saba 1928 1.33 — Hapoel Marmorek 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 54.5% · Implied: 49.9% · Probability edge: +4.6 pts · Est. EV: +4.1%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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