Tira vs Ironi Nesher Statistics & Analysis

Tira

Oct 08, 2026 - 17:00

2 1.47

1 1.13

xG Accuracy: 83%

Ironi Nesher

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Tira Tira ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:39 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13200304

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Tira win · Tira 2–1 Ironi Nesher

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Liga Alef
Fixture: Tira vs Ironi Nesher
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 43.3% · Draw 29.2% · Away 27.5%
xG (showing): Tira 1.47 — Ironi Nesher 1.13 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 47.2% · Probability edge: +4.6 pts · Est. EV: +3.6%
BTTS (model): Yes 53.7% · No 46.3%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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