Statistics / Football / England. Premier League 2 Division One / Arsenal U21 vs Sunderland U21

Arsenal U21 vs Sunderland U21 Statistics & Analysis

Arsenal U21 Arsenal U21
Oct 10, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.29
2 1.31
xG Accuracy: 68%
Sunderland U21 Sunderland U21
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Sunderland U21 Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13200056

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Arsenal U21 2–2 Sunderland U21
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Premier League 2 Division One
  • Fixture: Arsenal U21 vs Sunderland U21
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Arsenal U21 1.29 — Sunderland U21 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 27.3% · Probability edge: +24.5 pts · Est. EV: +86.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Premier League 2 Division One Premier League 2 Division One — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Tottenham Hotspur U21 4 3 1 0 10
2 Southampton U21 4 3 1 0 10
3 Manchester United U21 3 3 0 0 9
4 Chelsea U21 4 3 0 1 9
5 Sunderland U21 4 3 0 1 9
6 AFC Bournemouth U21 4 3 0 1 9
7 Nottingham Forest U21 4 3 0 1 9
8 Liverpool U21 4 2 1 1 7
9 Fulham U21 4 2 1 1 7
10 Leeds United U21 4 2 1 1 7
11 Reading U21 4 2 1 1 7
12 Norwich City U21 4 2 1 1 7
13 Brentford U21 4 2 0 2 6
14 Everton U21 4 1 2 1 5
15 West Ham United U21 4 1 2 1 5
16 Aston Villa U21 4 1 2 1 5
17 Stoke City U21 4 1 1 2 4
18 Crystal Palace U21 3 1 1 1 4
19 Brighton U21 4 1 1 2 4
20 Derby County U21 4 1 1 2 4
21 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 3
22 Burnley U21 4 1 0 3 3
23 Arsenal U21 4 0 3 1 3
24 Blackburn Rovers U21 3 1 0 2 3
25 Ipswich Town U21 3 1 0 2 3
26 Birmingham City U21 3 0 2 1 2
27 Middlesbrough U21 4 0 2 2 2
28 West Bromwich Albion U21 3 0 1 2 1
29 Leicester City U21 3 0 1 2 1
30 Newcastle United U21 3 0 0 3 0
31 Wolves U21 3 0 0 3 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Tottenham Hotspur U21 4 13 7 +6 10
2 Chelsea U21 4 13 8 +5 9
3 Sunderland U21 4 13 9 +4 9
4 Manchester United U21 3 12 3 +9 9
5 Fulham U21 4 12 9 +3 7
6 Leeds United U21 4 11 9 +2 7
7 Brentford U21 4 10 8 +2 6
8 Derby County U21 4 9 12 -3 4
9 Liverpool U21 4 8 4 +4 7
10 AFC Bournemouth U21 4 8 6 +2 9
11 Burnley U21 4 8 9 -1 3
12 West Bromwich Albion U21 3 8 11 -3 1
13 Southampton U21 4 7 2 +5 10
14 Stoke City U21 4 7 5 +2 4
15 Reading U21 4 7 6 +1 7
16 Manchester City U21 3 7 6 +1 3
17 Nottingham Forest U21 4 7 7 0 9
18 Aston Villa U21 4 7 8 -1 5
19 Brighton U21 4 7 9 -2 4
20 Middlesbrough U21 4 7 10 -3 2
21 Norwich City U21 4 6 5 +1 7
22 Ipswich Town U21 3 6 10 -4 3
23 West Ham United U21 4 5 5 0 5
24 Birmingham City U21 3 5 7 -2 2
25 Everton U21 4 4 3 +1 5
26 Arsenal U21 4 4 7 -3 3
27 Blackburn Rovers U21 3 4 7 -3 3
28 Crystal Palace U21 3 3 2 +1 4
29 Leicester City U21 3 1 7 -6 1
30 Newcastle United U21 3 1 9 -8 0
31 Wolves U21 3 0 10 -10 0
Premier League 2 Division One England. Premier League 2 Division One Predictions