Statistics / Football / Greece. Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 / Katsantonis Agrafon vs A. Schimatari

Katsantonis Agrafon vs A. Schimatari Statistics & Analysis

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Katsantonis Agrafon
Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 49%
A. Schimatari A. Schimatari
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Katsantonis Agrafon Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11669502

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Katsantonis Agrafon 0–0 A. Schimatari
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
  • Fixture: Katsantonis Agrafon vs A. Schimatari
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Katsantonis Agrafon 1.32 — A. Schimatari 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Fokikos 1 1 0 0 3
2 Kifissos 1 1 0 0 3
3 A. Schimatari 1 1 0 0 3
4 Lamia 1 1 0 0 3
5 Diagoras Agias 1 0 1 0 1
6 Nea Artaki 1 0 1 0 1
7 Karystos 1 0 0 1 0
8 Katsantonis Agrafon 1 0 0 1 0
9 Asteras Stavros 1 0 0 1 0
10 Thiva 1 0 0 1 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Fokikos 1 3 1 +2 3
2 Kifissos 1 3 1 +2 3
3 A. Schimatari 1 2 1 +1 3
4 Lamia 1 1 0 +1 3
5 Karystos 1 1 2 -1 0
6 Asteras Stavros 1 1 3 -2 0
7 Thiva 1 1 3 -2 0
8 Diagoras Agias 1 0 0 0 1
9 Nea Artaki 1 0 0 0 1
10 Katsantonis Agrafon 1 0 1 -1 0
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 Greece. Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 Predictions