Statistics / Football / Greece. Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 / Karystos vs Nea Artaki

Karystos vs Nea Artaki Statistics & Analysis

Karystos Karystos
Oct 04, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.19
0 1.41
xG Accuracy: 54%
Nea Artaki Nea Artaki
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Nea Artaki Karystos ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11669427

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Karystos win · Karystos 2–0 Nea Artaki
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Gamma Ethniki - Group 5
  • Fixture: Karystos vs Nea Artaki
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away 40.5%
  • xG (showing): Karystos 1.19 — Nea Artaki 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Fokikos 1 1 0 0 3
2 Kifissos 1 1 0 0 3
3 A. Schimatari 1 1 0 0 3
4 Lamia 1 1 0 0 3
5 Diagoras Agias 1 0 1 0 1
6 Nea Artaki 1 0 1 0 1
7 Karystos 1 0 0 1 0
8 Katsantonis Agrafon 1 0 0 1 0
9 Asteras Stavros 1 0 0 1 0
10 Thiva 1 0 0 1 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Fokikos 1 3 1 +2 3
2 Kifissos 1 3 1 +2 3
3 A. Schimatari 1 2 1 +1 3
4 Lamia 1 1 0 +1 3
5 Karystos 1 1 2 -1 0
6 Asteras Stavros 1 1 3 -2 0
7 Thiva 1 1 3 -2 0
8 Diagoras Agias 1 0 0 0 1
9 Nea Artaki 1 0 0 0 1
10 Katsantonis Agrafon 1 0 1 -1 0
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 Greece. Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 Predictions