Statistics / Football / Greece. Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 / Anthoupoli vs Elassona

Anthoupoli vs Elassona Statistics & Analysis

Anthoupoli Anthoupoli
Oct 11, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 64%
Elassona Elassona
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Anthoupoli Elassona ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13209056

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Elassona win · Anthoupoli 0–1 Elassona
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
  • Fixture: Anthoupoli vs Elassona
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Anthoupoli 1.32 — Elassona 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Trikala 2 2 0 0 6
2 Anthoupoli 2 1 1 0 4
3 Ermis Exochi 2 1 1 0 4
4 Elassona 2 1 0 1 3
5 Pierikos 2 1 0 1 3
6 Karitsa 1 1 0 0 3
7 Sarakinos 2 1 0 1 3
8 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 2 1 0 1 3
9 Feraios 2 0 0 2 0
10 Iraklis Larissa 2 0 0 2 0
11 Digenis Neochori 1 0 0 1 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Anthoupoli 2 4 1 +3 4
2 Ermis Exochi 2 4 2 +2 4
3 Elassona 2 4 3 +1 3
4 Pierikos 2 3 2 +1 3
5 Trikala 2 2 0 +2 6
6 Karitsa 1 2 1 +1 3
7 Sarakinos 2 2 2 0 3
8 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 2 1 3 -2 3
9 Iraklis Larissa 2 1 4 -3 0
10 Feraios 2 0 2 -2 0
11 Digenis Neochori 1 0 3 -3 0
Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 Greece. Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 Predictions