Statistics / Football / Gibraltar. Premier Division / Hound Dogs vs Europa Point

Hound Dogs vs Europa Point Statistics & Analysis

Hound Dogs Hound Dogs
Sep 19, 2026 - 17:30
1 1.17
2 1.43
xG Accuracy: 82%
Europa Point Europa Point
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Europa Point Europa Point ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8706318

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Europa Point win · Hound Dogs 1–2 Europa Point
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Premier Division
  • Fixture: Hound Dogs vs Europa Point
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 29.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.4%
  • xG (showing): Hound Dogs 1.17 — Europa Point 1.43 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Premier Division Premier Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Magpies 5 3 2 0 11
2 St Joseph S Fc 3 3 0 0 9
3 Lincoln Red Imps FC 3 2 1 0 7
4 Mons Calpe 4 2 1 1 7
5 Glacis United 5 2 1 2 7
6 Lions Gibraltar 5 2 1 2 7
7 Europa Point 5 2 1 2 7
8 Europa 5 1 2 2 5
9 College 1975 4 1 1 2 4
10 Hound Dogs 4 0 1 3 1
11 Lynx 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 St Joseph S Fc 3 11 1 +10 9
2 Magpies 5 11 4 +7 11
3 Lions Gibraltar 5 10 11 -1 7
4 Europa Point 5 8 11 -3 7
5 Lincoln Red Imps FC 3 7 1 +6 7
6 Glacis United 5 7 6 +1 7
7 Mons Calpe 4 6 4 +2 7
8 College 1975 4 6 6 0 4
9 Europa 5 6 8 -2 5
10 Hound Dogs 4 3 12 -9 1
11 Lynx 5 2 13 -11 1